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Hard and Soft Sciences
 

offline drill rods from 6AM-8PM NO PARKING (Canada) on 2014-01-14 18:45 [#02465938]
Points: 1171 Status: Regular



Do you think that "soft sciences" and humanities like
psychology, sociology and economics could ever become "hard
sciences" with greater objectivity and stronger predictive
power? What would be needed to achieve this? Could it be
achieved simply by utilising greater processing power to
generate more accurate models, or is something different or
more fundamental required?

(this is all in the context of IDM of course)


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-14 19:11 [#02465939]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker



It's up to you really.


 

offline jnasato from 777gogogo (Japan) on 2014-01-14 19:37 [#02465941]
Points: 3393 Status: Regular | Followup to drill rods: #02465938 | Show recordbag



Well, if you base everything on movement of energy,
everything is "hard sciences". We just don't have the power
to utilize that fact.


 

offline Ceri JC from Jefferson City (United States) on 2014-01-14 21:06 [#02465943]
Points: 23533 Status: Moderator | Show recordbag



Maths, computing, physics, chemistry. These are examples of
"proper" sciences. Liberals talking about their
spectacularly subjective, non-repeatable, frequently
illogical ideas in an abstract way? That's art, or at
best, philosophy.

Just sticking the suffix "Sciences" on a subject doesn't
make it a science, kemosabe.


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-14 21:32 [#02465945]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker | Followup to Ceri JC: #02465943



That post says a lot about you, you miserable old twat!


 

offline drill rods from 6AM-8PM NO PARKING (Canada) on 2014-01-14 21:40 [#02465946]
Points: 1171 Status: Regular | Followup to Ceri JC: #02465943



"Just sticking the suffix "Sciences" on a subject doesn't
make it a science, kemosabe. "

True of course. But that's what I hope we can eventually
overcome. With greater processing power we can get rid of
the niche that dogmatic subjectivity currently resides in.

e.g. if we could model society to a degree sufficient to
make sociology an empirical science, then that would kill
off a lot of the politically-motivated assertions that
abound when it comes to social issues.

I just wonder if that will ever be possible or if there
would be other means to make them empirical.


 

offline Haft from Tublin (Ireland) on 2014-01-15 20:17 [#02465967]
Points: 884 Status: Lurker



This question boils down to asking whether both human
behaviour can ever be accurately modelled by computers and
the complete environmental conditions of Earth
(space-influence included) can ever be accurately predicted
by statistical models. The answer in short is no.
The accuracy of approximations to models of real-life
phenomena does become ever greater with our improved
technology. On the whole though, these things that would
need to be "predicted" are far too convoluted to do so
empirically. The funny thing is if we were able to do such a
thing, we would essentially harness the power of complete
predestination, since if we could stretch far enough to
model humans, Earth and our galaxy perfectly, we would have
a good chance of modelling the entire universe and its time
evolution with good accuracy also. The power to last until
the heat death of the universe, or perhaps even defy entropy
with some sort of energy collation and recycling tech, and
live in a little mass-energy bubble in the middle of tepid
infinity til the infinite bound of time. Or until the Big
Bounce decides to say hello


 

offline EpicMegatrax from Greatest Hits on 2014-01-15 22:08 [#02465968]
Points: 25264 Status: Regular



who fucking cares. the map is not the territory, the
question is rigged in the first place. we will never solve
Truth in some absolute sense, just come up with better and
better models of what may be going on. being able to
simulate the universe is a classic limp-dicked intellectual
exercise, omg are the simulated people real? i am so
intellectual. simulating the universe requires matching its
complexity, and what are you going to do, pull a second
universe out of your arsehole? even the things that vaguely
hold a candle to that, like dyson spheres etc. will fucking
never ever happen because humans are immature greedy fucks.
space ain't happening unless one country gets jealous of
another's progress, any life-safe discovery is used to
profit off the sick first, to make us comfortable next, and
to entertain us thereafter. root causes are never addressed,
bunch of assholes at a university sit in their bubble and
argue why, it's obvious why, fuck off you skinny stick
philosophers, they're skinny because you can't eat
philosophy and philosophy doesn't pay the bills and you only
get paid by participating in humanity's greedy bullshit have
a nice day

but now, back on topic


 

offline drill rods from 6AM-8PM NO PARKING (Canada) on 2014-01-16 00:27 [#02465975]
Points: 1171 Status: Regular | Followup to EpicMegatrax: #02465968



"we will never solve
Truth in some absolute sense, just come up with better and
better models of what may be going on."

That's what I mean though. We won't ever find the 100%
Truth, but we might be able to model things better such that
things like sociology actually become objective, and capable
of generating predictions without any of the political dogma
bullshit.

"dyson spheres etc. will fucking
never ever happen because humans are immature greedy
fucks."

Yeah probably. Techno-fetishists annoy me with their talk of
the Singularity and how we will shortly be living in some
kind of augmented-reality utopia where our way of life is
fundamentally different and better. It won't happen.
Technology is great but it hasn't changed our psyche since
we were cavemen, we're no less flawed emotionally. But maybe
that's the same political dogma right there, that I want to
banish from the social sciences yo.


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-16 00:51 [#02465978]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker



Stop pretending you know things, folks! It looks silly.


 

offline w M w from London (United Kingdom) on 2014-01-16 03:22 [#02465981]
Points: 21423 Status: Regular



So I get on the subway. Its dead quiet because its early
morning and the only other people on were some curly haired
grandma and a dark haired man with glasses. I lean on a bar
sort of in between them, bend over and break wind. It
sounded like a nice long zipper being pulled fast, then
really slow, then fast again. None of us laughed. Instead I
turned toward the grandma and began explaining: "I felt that
there was plenty of air over here, and here" I said,
gesturing with my hands, "but not enough right there. I just
wanted to leave some air right there. I'm just trying to
help."
"Oh, its ok sonny, said the grandma and she lovingly took my
head in her hand and I snuggled on the bench beside her,
buried my face in her short dress and into her panties
briefly, then rested my left ear on her thigh, and we both
gazed at the dark haired man with glasses very solemnly. He
kind of furrowed his brow and tried to awkwardly avoid eye
contact and look down at his paper, but he couldn't help
repeatedly glancing back and we were still gazing at him.
After about 3 minutes he picked up his hat, folded his paper
and left.


 

offline Haft from Tublin (Ireland) on 2014-01-16 14:53 [#02465991]
Points: 884 Status: Lurker | Followup to RussellDust: #02465978



It might look silly, but it doesn't matter how it looks, you
complete dry shite. Considering our limits as living things
is just another healthy part of being alive. Nobody
pretended to know anything.

drill rods, it's not possible to do the modelling you're
talking about and so anything based off it is just
conjecture and for fun purposes only. But NO fun must be had
in thinking or talking about it because you will look like a
real idiot


 

offline EpicMegatrax from Greatest Hits on 2014-01-16 16:20 [#02465992]
Points: 25264 Status: Regular | Followup to w M w: #02465981



you're one of the few here that could have a career at riced
out yugo


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-16 17:41 [#02465996]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker | Followup to Haft: #02465991



I'm a loving and caring person. I don't know why i went
overboard like that. I'm really sorry as it seems you felt
insulted. Are you OK? ffs :D.


 

offline fleetmouse from Horny for Truth on 2014-01-16 18:35 [#02465998]
Points: 18042 Status: Lurker | Followup to Ceri JC: #02465943



Would you care to show us the complicated maths and
engineering schematics by which you arrived at that
conclusion?


 

offline Ceri JC from Jefferson City (United States) on 2014-01-17 10:52 [#02466014]
Points: 23533 Status: Moderator | Followup to fleetmouse: #02465998 | Show recordbag



No, because that opinion is in itself art/philosophy, rather
than something clear and demonstrable.

RussellDust: It's interesting that you took my theory as an
insult, as though art/philosophy were somehow less
important. I don't think that they are. I just don't
understand the "me too!" mentality of a lot of subjects to
want to be reclassified from their traditional designations
as arts to "sciences".


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-17 12:03 [#02466015]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker | Followup to Ceri JC: #02466014



I definitely didn't feel isulted. I just find you boring and
a bitter conservative.


 

offline fleetmouse from Horny for Truth on 2014-01-17 12:45 [#02466016]
Points: 18042 Status: Lurker | Followup to Ceri JC: #02466014



Does that make it a spectacularly subjective,
non-repeatable, illogical idea in an abstract way?


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-17 12:52 [#02466017]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker



Baaaam! You just got light up, cuz!


 

offline Ceri JC from Jefferson City (United States) on 2014-01-17 17:35 [#02466020]
Points: 23533 Status: Moderator | Followup to fleetmouse: #02466016 | Show recordbag



It is:
Spectacularly subjective.
A reasonably abstract concept.

It is not:
Illogical to consider 'soft sciences' in this way.

"Repeatable" is rather irrelevant in this context; I was
referring to one of the criteria that I find key in
differentiating soft sciences from proper science. Namely,
that the soft sciences have a much greater frequency with
which attempts at repeating experiments fail to yield the
same results. This was key to drill rods' initial post.

Is my opinion itself repeatable? I don't know, ask me again
in 10 years. Ask most proper scientists their view and
you'll probably find that you get a view akin to my own that
is "repeated" more consistently amongst that group than you
would get in most social experiments.

----

RussellDust: I can see where you're coming from. It's often
easier to criticise the individual than the discourse.
Particularly where such criticism, even if it were true, in
no way refutes the argument.

I'm reading some Theodore Dalrymple at the moment. He's so
educated and drops so many literary and historical
references that have me reaching for the dictionary and
every two minutes. It makes you feel stupid and so you feel
as though he is writing in a patronising manner (although he
isn't) and look at his face. Plus he's a retired doctor and
white and terribly middle class and God, just look at his
face, he's a poster child for the establishment he claims to
hate. Also, what about that name. I could well
imagine that all these things would irk people who already
disagree with his political views.

Although all these things are utterly irrelevant to his
argument of course, which is completely informed, reasoned
and consequently are considerably harder to attack. So fuck
it, he's just an old conservative from a rich background.

-----

Anyway, that's probably enough zilty for me for another year
or so. I used to enjoy these sort of debates, but I've
become apathetic about the point of them in my old age:
You'll continue with


 

offline Ceri JC from Jefferson City (United States) on 2014-01-17 17:36 [#02466021]
Points: 23533 Status: Moderator | Followup to fleetmouse: #02466016 | Show recordbag



...your foolishness opinions, as will I.


 

offline SignedUpToLOL from Zuckuss fanfiction (United Kingdom) on 2014-01-17 18:43 [#02466023]
Points: 2853 Status: Regular



It's a LOL


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-17 18:43 [#02466024]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker



Don't over analyse me just giving a tiny opinion. Sorry if
it felt harsh.

"Anyway, that's probably enough zilty for me for another
year
or so"

Ha ha you poor thing!


 

offline RussellDust on 2014-01-17 18:45 [#02466025]
Points: 16053 Status: Lurker | Followup to SignedUpToLOL: #02466023



Looking forward to more of your contributions! =)


 

offline SignedUpToLOL from Zuckuss fanfiction (United Kingdom) on 2014-01-17 19:11 [#02466029]
Points: 2853 Status: Regular | Followup to RussellDust: #02466025



LOL!


 

offline fleetmouse from Horny for Truth on 2014-01-17 21:56 [#02466032]
Points: 18042 Status: Lurker | Followup to Ceri JC: #02466020



And on this matter, like so many others before it, the
Muslim community chooses to remain silent.


 

offline drill rods from 6AM-8PM NO PARKING (Canada) on 2014-01-17 22:47 [#02466033]
Points: 1171 Status: Regular | Followup to Haft: #02465991



"it's not possible to do the modelling you're
talking about and so anything based off it is just
conjecture and for fun purposes only"

but why is it not possible? It should be possible given
improvements to modelling and processing power. The results
thereof would certainly always be much vaguer than they are
in e.g. physics, but I don't see that there should be some
impermeable barrier that stops the scientific method from
being meaningfully applied to psychology, at the very least.


also, lol @ thread


 

offline fleetmouse from Horny for Truth on 2014-01-18 00:12 [#02466034]
Points: 18042 Status: Lurker | Followup to Ceri JC: #02466020



His real name is Anthony Daniels. Theodore Dalrymple is his
pen name. He apparently chose it to impress the thickos who
buy his books.


 

offline mmiH on 2014-01-18 00:53 [#02466036]
Points: 54 Status: Regular



Taking gloves off lulz

More of a patriot than george himself.


 

offline drill rods from 6AM-8PM NO PARKING (Canada) on 2014-01-18 01:15 [#02466037]
Points: 1171 Status: Regular | Followup to Ceri JC: #02466020



"I'm reading some Theodore Dalrymple at the moment."

He seems to think everything can be blamed on the nanny
state basically making the plebs turn into layabouts. I
reckon that it's at least partly because of lead pollution. It's a
testable (and tested?) hypothesis.

Regardless of the truth, this is exactly the kind of thing
that improved processing power should be able to help us to
understand more, by allowing us to play with ever-bigger
datasets and accommodate for more variables and shit.


 

offline drill rods from 6AM-8PM NO PARKING (Canada) on 2014-01-18 01:31 [#02466039]
Points: 1171 Status: Regular | Followup to Ceri JC: #02466021



Although I do agree with him that welfare systems have to
make sure they avoid removing the incentive for
self-improvement. Which, maybe, Western ones have actually
done in some instances. (Look at Brazil's Bolsa Familia for
a good example of one that doesn't do that.)

But again, I can't easily PROVE any of that shit, which is
why I hate the humanities and prefer to hide away in the
world of science like the meek shy science nerd that I am.


 

offline mmiH on 2014-01-18 02:45 [#02466042]
Points: 54 Status: Regular



The cecil rumsfielder


 

offline mmiH on 2014-01-18 04:31 [#02466043]
Points: 54 Status: Regular



set strict on denikin

b.t.w there's a skype pic of julian looking worse for wear
floating around


 


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